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Market Trends Argentina
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Market Trends Argentina

Retailing in Argentina: Poised for a comeback - 01 Oct 04
Author: Leonie Tait

After a tumultuous period of damaged consumer confidence, store closures and rapidly declining sales during Argentina’s recession of 1999-2002, all signs point towards the recovery of the country’s retail industry.

A retailer's worst nightmare
In an effort to rectify the nation’s shaky economic situation and pull the economy out of its recession, the Argentine peso, previously pegged to the U.S. dollar, was floated in 2002. Already the throws of a financial crisis, the economy quickly suffered further setbacks. The value of the peso plummeted, inflation soared and consumer confidence crashed, leaving the retail sector struggling.

Paltry purchasing power
The dramatic drop in purchasing power in 2002 created a far more price sensitive consumer with little available credit at their disposal. Consumers began to opt for less-expensive products and private-label brands, which meant that the only type of outlet experiencing growth was hard discount stores in food and factory outlets in non-foods. Overall retail sales in real terms declined drastically over the review period.

Curing credit
As the economy began to stabilise in 2003, efforts to rebuild credit had a positive impact on consumer expenditure and consequently, on retail sales. In an effort to repair consumer confidence, banks and retailers introduced more favourable terms for issuing consumer credit and retailers established more flexible payment options to encourage expenditure.

Retail revival
The outlook for growth in retail sales in the industry is positive, barring the dip in 2006 and 2007 sales, which is due to the retail industry’s cyclical nature. As the peso stabilises and consumer confidence begins to recover, positive macroeconomic conditions are expected to stimulate investor confidence and increase the number of retail businesses operating in the market, indicating an optimistic future for the industry.

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